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Today's Market

Eric Criscuolo
Market Strategist

March 19, 2025 at 9:05 a.m. EST

Happy Fed Day to all who celebrate and enjoy the last day of winter in the Northern Hemisphere. US equity futures are pointing to a slightly higher open today following yesterday’s decline. Not surprisingly Treasury yields are largely unchanged across the curve ahead of the Fed. The 10-year has basically traded between 4.25%-4.30% for all of March. The US Dollar Index is up 0.3% and has traded around the 103.5 level for the past week after a rapid move down from ~108 on the Germany fiscal news. We head into the FOMC rate decision (2pm) and press conference (2:30) with the market expecting the Fed to hold rates steady, while pricing in just above two cuts for the rest of the year. Chairman Powell spoke on the Friday right before the Fed’s Blackout period and didn’t hint at any significant changes.

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